Die Schule der Quoten

Nacional v Alverca

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-18 14:34 UTC

Endstand: Nacional 1–0 Alverca

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nacional (Heim)

Prognose 43.22%2.31faire Quote
EV -3.61%
Vorteil -1.62%
Kelly -2.94%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.98%43.16%43.41%43.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.172.162.2350.00%46.14%46.30%44.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alverca (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.82%3.35faire Quote
EV -1.58%
Vorteil -0.479%
Kelly -0.687%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.16%29.92%29.63%31.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.103.103.3034.72%32.21%32.26%30.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.95%3.71faire Quote
EV -2.17%
Vorteil -0.597%
Kelly -0.823%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.68%26.93%26.95%28.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.403.403.6333.33%29.39%29.41%27.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.28%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -5.16%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -1.58%E -0.479%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -2.70%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 14:29
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -4.48%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -2.47%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.17%E -0.597%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 14:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:29
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.28%EV -7.56%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:27
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:30
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:28
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:30
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:29
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:30
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.29%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:29
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:29
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -6.95%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:28
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.55%E -6.78%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.11%E -4.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.15%E -6.38%K -9.57%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-04-18 14:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-04-18 14:30
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-04-18 14:30