A Escola das Odds

Nacional v Alverca

Início: 2026-04-18 14:34 UTC

Final: Nacional 1–0 Alverca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nacional (Local)

Previsão 43.22%2.31odd justa
EV -3.61%
Vantagem -1.62%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.98%43.16%43.41%43.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.172.162.2350.00%46.14%46.30%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alverca (Visitante)

Previsão 29.82%3.35odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.479%
Kelly -0.687%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.16%29.92%29.63%31.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.103.103.3034.72%32.21%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.95%3.71odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -0.597%
Kelly -0.823%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.68%26.93%26.95%28.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.403.403.6333.33%29.39%29.41%27.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.28%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -5.16%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -1.58%E -0.479%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -2.70%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 14:29
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -4.48%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -2.47%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.17%E -0.597%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 14:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:29
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.28%EV -7.56%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:27
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:30
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:28
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:30
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:29
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:30
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.29%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:29
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:29
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -6.95%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:28
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.55%E -6.78%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.11%E -4.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.15%E -6.38%K -9.57%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-04-18 14:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-04-18 14:30
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-04-18 14:30