Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.63
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nacional (Casa): 43.22%; Alverca (Trasferta): 29.82%; Pareggio: 26.95%. Per Alverca (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.35. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.30, con un valore atteso del -1.58%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.28%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -5.16%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -1.58%E -0.479%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -2.70%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -4.48%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -2.47%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.17%E -0.597%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.28%EV -7.56%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:27 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.29%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -6.95%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.55%E -6.78%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.11%E -4.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.15%E -6.38%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 14:30 |