Szkoła Kursów

Nacional v Alverca

Początek: 2026-04-18 14:34 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nacional 1–0 Alverca

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nacional (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.22%2.31kurs godziwy
EV -3.61%
Przewaga -1.62%
Kelly -2.94%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.98%43.16%43.41%43.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.172.162.2350.00%46.14%46.30%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alverca (Goście)

Prognoza 29.82%3.35kurs godziwy
EV -1.58%
Przewaga -0.479%
Kelly -0.687%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.16%29.92%29.63%31.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.103.103.3034.72%32.21%32.26%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.95%3.71kurs godziwy
EV -2.17%
Przewaga -0.597%
Kelly -0.823%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.68%26.93%26.95%28.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.403.403.6333.33%29.39%29.41%27.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.28%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -5.16%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -1.58%E -0.479%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -2.70%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 14:29
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -4.48%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -2.47%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.17%E -0.597%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 14:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:29
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.28%EV -7.56%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:27
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:30
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:28
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:30
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:29
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:30
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.29%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:29
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:29
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -6.95%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:28
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.55%E -6.78%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.11%E -4.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.15%E -6.38%K -9.57%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-04-18 14:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-04-18 14:30
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-04-18 14:30