Language:English
Gil Vicente v Vitória SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gil Vicente (Local)
Prediction 47.09%2.12fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.94%47.18%47.00%48.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.971.962.0653.19%50.89%51.15%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vitória SC (Visit)
Prediction 24.42%4.10fair odd
EV +0.106%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%24.38%24.49%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.793.804.1029.41%26.35%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.44%28.51%29.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.4034.72%30.49%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gil Vicente (Local): 47.09%; Vitória SC (Visit): 24.42%; Draw: 28.49%. For Vitória SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.096. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.106%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV +0.106%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV +0.106%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.14%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.22%EV -2.09%E -0.521%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.22%EV -4.40%E -2.17%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -2.09%E -0.521%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 19:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.25%EV -2.58%E -0.646%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.54%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.66%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.89%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -6.29%E -3.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -6.73%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 19:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -11.00%E -5.82%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 19:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -15.76%E -4.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -16.98%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -17.94%E -6.23%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |