La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gil Vicente v Vitória SC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gil Vicente (Local)
Predicción 47.09%2.12momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.94%47.18%47.00%48.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.971.962.0653.19%50.89%51.15%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vitória SC (Visitante)
Predicción 24.42%4.10momio equitativo
EV +0.106%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.86%24.38%24.49%26.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.793.804.1029.41%26.35%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -0.920%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%28.44%28.51%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.4034.72%30.49%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV +0.106%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV +0.106%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.14%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.22%EV -2.09%E -0.521%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| GTbets | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.22%EV -4.40%E -2.17%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -2.09%E -0.521%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 19:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.25%EV -2.58%E -0.646%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.54%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.66%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.89%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -6.29%E -3.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -6.73%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 19:31 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 19:19 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -11.00%E -5.82%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 19:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -15.76%E -4.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -16.98%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -17.94%E -6.23%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |