مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gil Vicente v Vitória SC

البداية: 2026-04-18 19:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gil Vicente (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.09%2.12السعر العادل
EV -2.99%
الأفضلية -1.45%
Kelly -2.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.94%47.18%47.00%48.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.881.971.962.0653.19%50.89%51.15%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vitória SC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.42%4.10السعر العادل
EV +0.106%
الأفضلية +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.86%24.38%24.49%26.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.793.804.1029.41%26.35%26.32%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.49%3.51السعر العادل
EV -3.13%
الأفضلية -0.920%
Kelly -1.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.08%28.44%28.51%29.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.283.303.4034.72%30.49%30.30%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV +0.106%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV +0.106%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:29
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.14%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.22%EV -2.09%E -0.521%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 19:29
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 47.22%EV -4.40%E -2.17%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -2.09%E -0.521%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:29
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 19:29
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 19:28
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 19:30
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.25%EV -2.58%E -0.646%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.54%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 19:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.66%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.89%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 19:29
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:29
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:29
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:30
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -6.29%E -3.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -6.73%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 19:29
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:30
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:31
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 19:30
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 19:19
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 19:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 19:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 19:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 19:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:29
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 19:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:29
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 19:30
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -11.00%E -5.82%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 19:30
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 19:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 19:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 19:28
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -15.76%E -4.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -16.98%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -17.94%E -6.23%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 19:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-04-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-04-18 19:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%8.6%2026-04-18 19:30