La scuola delle quote

Gil Vicente v Vitória SC

Inizio: 2026-04-18 19:32 UTC

Finale: Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gil Vicente (Casa)

Previsione 47.09%2.12quota equa
EV -2.99%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.94%47.18%47.00%48.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.971.962.0653.19%50.89%51.15%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitória SC (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.42%4.10quota equa
EV +0.106%
Vantaggio +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.86%24.38%24.49%26.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.793.804.1029.41%26.35%26.32%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.49%3.51quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -0.920%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.08%28.44%28.51%29.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.283.303.4034.72%30.49%30.30%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV +0.106%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV +0.106%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:29
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.14%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.22%EV -2.09%E -0.521%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 19:29
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 47.22%EV -4.40%E -2.17%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -2.09%E -0.521%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:29
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 19:29
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 19:28
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.34%E -0.584%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 19:30
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.25%EV -2.58%E -0.646%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.54%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 19:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.66%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.89%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 19:29
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:29
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:29
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.00%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 19:30
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -6.29%E -3.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -6.73%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 19:29
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:30
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:31
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 19:30
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 19:19
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 19:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 19:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 19:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.22%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 19:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:29
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 19:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.44%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:29
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 19:30
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -11.00%E -5.82%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 19:30
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 19:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 19:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 19:28
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -8.64%E -4.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -15.76%E -4.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -16.98%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -17.94%E -6.23%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 19:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-04-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-04-18 19:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-04-18 19:30
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%8.6%2026-04-18 19:30