Die Schule der Quoten

Gil Vicente v Casa Pia

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-27 19:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Gil Vicente (Heim)

Prognose 59.61%1.68faire Quote
EV -4.03%
Vorteil -2.50%
Kelly -6.61%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.51%59.65%59.61%61.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.451.561.571.6168.97%63.93%63.69%62.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Casa Pia (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.12%6.20faire Quote
EV +0.618%
Vorteil +0.099%
Kelly +0.118%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.24

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.53%16.13%16.11%17.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.705.665.756.2421.28%17.68%17.39%16.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.27%4.12faire Quote
EV -0.502%
Vorteil -0.122%
Kelly -0.162%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.83%24.21%24.27%26.20%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.783.804.1030.30%26.42%26.32%24.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.19%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.53%EV +0.618%E +0.099%K +0.118%G +0.001%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -3.17%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:24
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.25%E -0.542%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -9.40%E -6.18%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.25%E -0.542%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.502%E -0.122%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.25%E -0.542%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.81%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:19
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 59.97%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.98%EV -4.38%E -0.739%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.05%EV -4.38%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:30
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.93%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.86%E -0.825%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:24
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -4.86%E -0.825%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -4.86%E -0.825%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:19
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.01%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.02%EV -5.19%E -0.882%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.97%EV -4.63%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -6.48%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.93%E -0.732%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 19:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.48%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:19
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.22%E -3.29%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.93%E -0.732%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:30
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 20:01
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:00
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:47
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 11:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 19:39
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:59
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 19:15
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.59%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.29%EV -3.41%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 21:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:14
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:25
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -9.99%E -6.62%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -8.09%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 01:19
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:31
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:31
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:30
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:49
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:48
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.86%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.86%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:31
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 22:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 22:25
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:19
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.33%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:19
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:24
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -15.35%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -19.38%E -3.88%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.75%EV -11.78%E -7.96%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.75%EV -20.99%E -4.28%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 16:35
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 58.24%EV -13.57%E -9.36%K -30.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.97%EV -24.21%E -5.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.79%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-20 16:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 58.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%13.3%2026-04-20 19:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 54.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.23%18.1%2026-04-24 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 32.80%1.07I 93.46%NM 32.80%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.41%185.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 32.80%1.07I 93.46%NM 32.80%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.41%185.0%2026-04-23 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-04-23 21:35