مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gil Vicente v Casa Pia

البداية: 2026-04-27 19:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gil Vicente (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.61%1.68السعر العادل
EV -4.03%
الأفضلية -2.50%
Kelly -6.61%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.51%59.65%59.61%61.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.561.571.6168.97%63.93%63.69%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casa Pia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.12%6.20السعر العادل
EV +0.618%
الأفضلية +0.099%
Kelly +0.118%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.53%16.13%16.11%17.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.705.665.756.2421.28%17.68%17.39%16.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.27%4.12السعر العادل
EV -0.502%
الأفضلية -0.122%
Kelly -0.162%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.83%24.21%24.27%26.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.783.804.1030.30%26.42%26.32%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.19%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.53%EV +0.618%E +0.099%K +0.118%G +0.001%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -3.17%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:24
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.25%E -0.542%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -9.40%E -6.18%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.25%E -0.542%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.502%E -0.122%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.25%E -0.542%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.81%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:19
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 59.97%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.98%EV -4.38%E -0.739%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.05%EV -4.38%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:30
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.93%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.86%E -0.825%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:24
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -4.86%E -0.825%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -4.86%E -0.825%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:19
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.01%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.02%EV -5.19%E -0.882%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.97%EV -4.63%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -6.48%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.93%E -0.732%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 19:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.48%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:19
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.22%E -3.29%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.93%E -0.732%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:30
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 20:01
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:00
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:47
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 11:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 19:39
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 59.65%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:59
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 19:15
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.59%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.29%EV -3.41%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 21:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:14
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -7.28%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:25
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -9.99%E -6.62%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -8.09%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 01:19
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:31
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:31
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.63%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:30
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:49
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:48
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.86%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.86%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:31
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -9.70%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 22:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 22:25
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:19
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.33%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:19
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:24
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.61%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.31%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -15.35%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -19.38%E -3.88%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.75%EV -11.78%E -7.96%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.75%EV -20.99%E -4.28%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 16:35
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 58.24%EV -13.57%E -9.36%K -30.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.97%EV -24.21%E -5.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.79%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-20 16:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 58.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%13.3%2026-04-20 19:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 54.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.23%18.1%2026-04-24 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 32.80%1.07I 93.46%NM 32.80%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.41%185.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 32.80%1.07I 93.46%NM 32.80%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.41%185.0%2026-04-23 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-04-23 21:35