A Escola das Odds

Gil Vicente v Arouca

Início: 2026-05-10 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gil Vicente (Local)

Previsão 55.21%1.81odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -1.94%
Kelly -4.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.18%55.15%55.23%56.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.581.691.701.7563.29%59.32%58.82%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arouca (Visitante)

Previsão 20.18%4.95odd justa
EV -0.504%
Vantagem -0.102%
Kelly -0.128%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.59%20.29%20.12%21.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.954.554.604.9325.32%21.98%21.74%20.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.61%4.06odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.387%
Kelly -0.516%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.39%24.56%24.65%26.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.733.754.0031.25%26.81%26.67%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.68%EV -0.504%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-05 12:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.24%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 07:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 14:39
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 14:39
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 08:08
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 08:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 14:39
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.00%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.24%EV -3.76%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 07:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 19:50
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 19:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:19
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 16:19
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:15
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:15
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 15:19
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 17:14
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -1.55%E -0.387%K -0.516%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 07:25
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.01%EV -4.94%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.23%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 00:25
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 15:43
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 01:04
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 20:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 19:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 05:41
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.85%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 15:43
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -6.16%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.21%EV -5.73%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 05:25
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -1.55%E -0.387%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 14:15
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 16:19
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -10.02%E -6.14%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 12:29
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -21.24%E -6.64%K -9.65%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-05 15:49
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -11.67%E -7.29%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 11:04
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.82%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.53%EV -20.28%E -5.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.65%EV -15.09%E -4.37%K -6.16%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-04 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-05-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-05-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%7.5%2026-05-05 14:15
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 47.59%2.62I 38.17%NM 30.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 21.90%25.1%2026-05-05 14:40