La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Gil Vicente v Arouca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gil Vicente (Local)
Predicción 55.21%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -4.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.18%55.15%55.23%56.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.691.701.7563.29%59.32%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arouca (Visitante)
Predicción 20.18%4.95momio equitativo
EV -0.504%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.128%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.59%20.29%20.12%21.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.554.604.9325.32%21.98%21.74%20.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.61%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.516%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.39%24.56%24.65%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.733.754.0031.25%26.81%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.68%EV -0.504%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.24%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 14:39 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 08:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 14:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.00%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.24%EV -3.76%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 11:14 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 17:14 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -1.55%E -0.387%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 07:25 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.01%EV -4.94%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.23%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 05:41 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.85%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -6.16%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.21%EV -5.73%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 05:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -1.55%E -0.387%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -10.02%E -6.14%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -21.24%E -6.64%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -11.67%E -7.29%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.82%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.53%EV -20.28%E -5.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.65%EV -15.09%E -4.37%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-04 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 47.59% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 30.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 21.90% | 25.1% | 2026-05-05 14:40 |