Die Schule der Quoten

Gil Vicente v Arouca

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-10 15:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

39 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Gil Vicente (Heim)

Prognose 55.21%1.81faire Quote
EV -3.39%
Vorteil -1.94%
Kelly -4.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.18%55.15%55.23%56.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.581.691.701.7563.29%59.32%58.82%57.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arouca (Auswärts)

Prognose 20.18%4.95faire Quote
EV -0.504%
Vorteil -0.102%
Kelly -0.128%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.59%20.29%20.12%21.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.954.554.604.9325.32%21.98%21.74%20.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.61%4.06faire Quote
EV -1.55%
Vorteil -0.387%
Kelly -0.516%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.39%24.56%24.65%26.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.733.754.0031.25%26.81%26.67%25.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (39 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.68%EV -0.504%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-05 12:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.24%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 07:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 14:39
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 14:39
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 08:08
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 08:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 14:39
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.00%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.24%EV -3.76%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 07:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 19:50
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 19:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:19
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 16:19
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:15
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:15
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 15:19
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 17:14
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -1.55%E -0.387%K -0.516%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 07:25
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.01%EV -4.94%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.23%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 00:25
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 15:43
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 01:04
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 20:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 19:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 05:41
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.85%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 15:43
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -6.16%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.21%EV -5.73%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 05:25
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -1.55%E -0.387%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 14:15
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 16:19
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -10.02%E -6.14%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 12:29
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -21.24%E -6.64%K -9.65%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-05 15:49
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -11.67%E -7.29%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 11:04
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.82%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.53%EV -20.28%E -5.13%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.65%EV -15.09%E -4.37%K -6.16%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-04 13:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-05-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-05-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%7.5%2026-05-05 14:15
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 47.59%2.62I 38.17%NM 30.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 21.90%25.1%2026-05-05 14:40