L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Gil Vicente v Arouca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Gil Vicente (Local)
Prévision 55.21%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -4.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.18%55.15%55.23%56.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.691.701.7563.29%59.32%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arouca (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.18%4.95cote équitable
EV -0.504%
Avantage -0.102%
Kelly -0.128%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.59%20.29%20.12%21.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.554.604.9325.32%21.98%21.74%20.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.61%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.516%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.39%24.56%24.65%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.733.754.0031.25%26.81%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.68%EV -0.504%E -0.102%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.24%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 14:39 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 08:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 14:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.00%EV -4.34%E -0.915%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.24%EV -3.76%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 11:14 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.16%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 17:14 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -1.55%E -0.387%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 07:25 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.01%EV -4.94%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.23%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.47%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 05:41 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.81%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.85%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -6.16%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.21%EV -5.73%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 05:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -1.55%E -0.387%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -10.02%E -6.14%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -8.93%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -21.24%E -6.64%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -11.67%E -7.29%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.82%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.53%EV -20.28%E -5.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.65%EV -15.09%E -4.37%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-04 13:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 47.59% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 30.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 21.90% | 25.1% | 2026-05-05 14:40 |