Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gil Vicente v Académico de Viseu

2026-09-06 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gil Vicente (Local)

Prediction 54.00%1.85fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -7.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.05%54.08%53.88%55.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.681.7561.35%59.22%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Académico de Viseu (Visit)

Prediction 20.69%4.83fair odd
EV +7.61%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.138%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.99%20.56%20.84%22.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.654.605.2025.97%21.50%21.74%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -0.903%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.35%25.28%26.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.553.8529.85%27.97%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gil Vicente (Local): 54.00%; Académico de Viseu (Visit): 20.69%; Draw: 25.31%. For Académico de Viseu (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. 12 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.20, producing a positive expected value of +7.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.61%E +1.46%K +1.81%G +0.138%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.61%E +1.46%K +1.81%G +0.138%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.61%E +1.46%K +1.81%G +0.138%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.61%E +1.46%K +1.81%G +0.138%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.61%E +1.46%K +1.81%G +0.138%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.61%E +1.46%K +1.81%G +0.138%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:03
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.90%E -6.61%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +1.40%E +0.286%K +0.360%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.69%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.90%E -6.61%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +1.40%E +0.286%K +0.360%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.69%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.90%E -6.61%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +1.40%E +0.286%K +0.360%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.69%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.44%E -6.98%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +1.40%E +0.286%K +0.360%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.44%E -6.98%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +1.40%E +0.286%K +0.360%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.44%E -6.98%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +1.40%E +0.286%K +0.360%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.98%E -7.35%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -0.667%E -0.139%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.98%E -7.35%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -0.667%E -0.139%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.98%E -7.35%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -0.667%E -0.139%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -1.70%E -0.358%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.74%E -0.582%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.89%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.81%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.81%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.81%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.81%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.87%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.57%E -0.668%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.87%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.87%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.87%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 13:05
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.94%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:29
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 20.93%EV -9.15%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.03%EV -7.13%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:29
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -10.39%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 13:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.01%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -12.05%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.08%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.05%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -18.26%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -15.23%E -4.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-31 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -19.29%E -4.95%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-31 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.10%EV -10.36%E -6.24%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.46%EV -20.33%E -5.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-31 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-08-31 12:40