Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gil Vicente v Académico de Viseu

2026-09-06 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gil Vicente (Casa)

Previsione 54.12%1.85quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.05%54.13%54.02%55.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.691.681.8061.35%59.20%59.52%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Académico de Viseu (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.59%4.86quota equa
EV +7.07%
Vantaggio +1.36%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescita +0.119%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.99%20.51%20.71%22.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.654.705.2025.97%21.49%21.28%19.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.30%3.95quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.679%
Kelly -0.917%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.51%25.36%25.28%26.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.01%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Gil Vicente (Casa): 54.12%; Académico de Viseu (Trasferta): 20.59%; Pareggio: 25.30%. Per Académico de Viseu (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.86. 12 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 5.20, con un valore atteso positivo del +7.07%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:03
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.71%E -6.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.71%E -6.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.71%E -6.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.25%E -6.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.25%E -6.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.25%E -6.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.79%E -7.23%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -1.17%E -0.244%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.79%E -7.23%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -1.17%E -0.244%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.79%E -7.23%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -1.17%E -0.244%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.93%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.92%E -4.02%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 12:35
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.35%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.35%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.35%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -9.41%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.41%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.41%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 13:19
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.57%EV -9.61%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.81%EV -7.17%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 13:14
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -10.85%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 13:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.63%E -5.77%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.05%EV -9.63%E -5.77%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -18.67%E -4.73%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -15.26%E -4.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-31 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-31 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.10%EV -10.17%E -6.13%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.46%EV -20.73%E -5.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-31 12:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-08-31 13:15