Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gil Vicente v Académico de Viseu

Início: 2026-09-06 19:30 UTC

Final: Gil Vicente 0–1 Académico de Viseu

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gil Vicente (Local)

Previsão 39.13%2.56odd justa
EV +0.181%
Vantagem +0.071%
Kelly +0.116%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.02%39.22%39.04%41.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.362.382.5645.87%42.39%42.02%39.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Académico de Viseu (Visitante)

Previsão 29.30%3.41odd justa
EV +1.07%
Vantagem +0.311%
Kelly +0.437%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.31%29.19%29.35%30.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.13%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.57%3.17odd justa
EV -0.552%
Vantagem -0.175%
Kelly -0.257%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.60%31.59%31.61%33.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.912.903.1537.04%34.39%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gil Vicente (Local): 39.13%; Académico de Viseu (Visitante): 29.30%; Empate: 31.57%. Para Académico de Viseu (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.41. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV +1.07%E +0.311%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 19:20
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV +1.07%E +0.311%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV +1.07%E +0.311%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV +1.07%E +0.311%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 19:20
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV +1.07%E +0.311%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 19:20
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV +1.07%E +0.311%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 19:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV +1.07%E +0.311%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -0.393%E -0.116%K -0.164%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:25
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -14.69%E -6.74%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -0.393%E -0.116%K -0.164%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:05
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -0.552%E -0.175%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.78%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -10.78%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -10.78%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 19:20
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%EV -2.17%E -0.867%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.46%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.78%EV -3.71%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 19:15
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.13%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.13%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -10.78%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -10.78%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -10.78%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 19:20
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.91%E -2.02%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.33%EV -5.08%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.57%EV -4.97%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV +0.181%E +0.071%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -9.71%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV +0.181%E +0.071%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -9.71%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:20
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV +0.181%E +0.071%K +0.116%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.37%EV -10.34%E -3.64%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:05
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 19:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 19:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -2.13%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 19:15
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.84%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.10%EV -11.17%E -4.92%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.72%EV -7.13%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.18%EV -7.81%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 19:08
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:10
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -4.91%E -2.02%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:10
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 19:25
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.20%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -7.81%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 19:04
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -2.13%E -0.687%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:05
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 19:02
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 19:05
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 19:05
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.02%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 19:05
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 19:20
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.99%E -4.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 19:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%0.7%2026-09-06 19:25
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%0.7%2026-09-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-09-06 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-09-06 19:25
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%1.4%2026-09-06 19:20
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-09-06 19:05