Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gil Vicente v Académico de Viseu

2026-09-06 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gil Vicente (Local)

Prévision 54.12%1.85cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.05%54.13%54.02%55.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.691.681.8061.35%59.20%59.52%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Académico de Viseu (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.59%4.86cote équitable
EV +7.07%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.119%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.99%20.51%20.71%22.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.654.705.2025.97%21.49%21.28%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.679%
Kelly -0.917%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%25.36%25.28%26.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.01%28.17%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Gil Vicente (Local) : 54.12% ; Académico de Viseu (Visiteur) : 20.59% ; Match nul : 25.30%. Pour Académico de Viseu (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.86. 12 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.20, pour une espérance positive de +7.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:05
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +7.07%E +1.36%K +1.68%G +0.119%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 09:03
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.71%E -6.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.71%E -6.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -10.71%E -6.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.25%E -6.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.25%E -6.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -11.25%E -6.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +0.889%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.79%E -7.23%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -1.17%E -0.244%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.79%E -7.23%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -1.17%E -0.244%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.98%EV -11.79%E -7.23%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -1.17%E -0.244%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 09:05
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.61%E -0.679%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.93%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.92%E -4.02%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 12:35
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.35%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.35%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.35%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -9.41%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.41%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.41%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 13:19
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.57%EV -9.61%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.81%EV -7.17%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 13:14
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -10.85%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 13:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.63%E -5.77%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.05%EV -9.63%E -5.77%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -18.67%E -4.73%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -15.26%E -4.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-31 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -9.09%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-31 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.10%EV -10.17%E -6.13%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.46%EV -20.73%E -5.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-31 12:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-08-31 13:15