Language:English
FC Porto v Santa Clara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Porto (Local)
Prediction 74.66%1.34fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -9.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.93%74.49%74.70%76.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.54%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santa Clara (Visit)
Prediction 8.98%11.14fair odd
EV +7.71%
Edge +0.643%
Kelly +0.701%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.92%9.05%8.99%10.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.1310.0012.0011.76%9.87%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.37%6.11fair odd
EV +8.35%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.124%
assuming max odds 6.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.61%16.46%16.31%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.525.506.6222.22%18.11%18.18%15.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Porto (Local): 74.66%; Santa Clara (Visit): 8.98%; Draw: 16.37%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.11. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.17%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%EV -5.75%E -0.548%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.61%EV +8.35%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.124% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.38%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +1.47%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.38%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +1.47%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +1.47%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.78%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 11.45I 8.73%NM 8.34%EV +2.77%E +0.242%K +0.266%G +0.007% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.89%EV -1.64%E -0.272%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.80%E -0.300%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -1.80%E -0.300%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.80%E -0.300%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.95%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -3.44%E -0.583%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.24%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -3.51%E -0.326%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.07%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -5.07%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -8.17%E -6.64%K -35.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -23.70%E -2.79%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -5.07%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.04%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.76I 10.25%NM 9.63%EV -12.39%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.32%EV -5.73%E -0.995%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.68%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -5.75%E -0.548%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -5.75%E -0.548%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV -8.00%E -0.780%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 14:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.16%EV -10.41%E -8.68%K -52.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -6.71%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -21.46%E -2.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -8.35%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -21.46%E -2.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -8.35%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.81%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +7.71%E +0.643%K +0.701%G +0.054% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV +3.22%E +0.280%K +0.307%G +0.010% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -11.62%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV +3.22%E +0.280%K +0.307%G +0.010% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -11.62%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.83%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.62%EV -5.75%E -0.548%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.66%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.54%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -2.95%E -2.27%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -19.80%E -4.04%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.78%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -26.35%E -5.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.30% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.12% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.58% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.73% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |