La scuola delle quote

FC Porto v Santa Clara

Inizio: 2026-05-16 14:30 UTC

Finale: FC Porto 1–0 Santa Clara

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Porto (Casa)

Previsione 74.66%1.34quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -2.27%
Kelly -9.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.93%74.49%74.70%76.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.54%80.00%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santa Clara (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.98%11.14quota equa
EV +7.71%
Vantaggio +0.643%
Kelly +0.701%
Crescita +0.054%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.92%9.05%8.99%10.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5010.1310.0012.0011.76%9.87%10.00%8.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.37%6.11quota equa
EV +8.35%
Vantaggio +1.26%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescita +0.124%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.61%16.46%16.31%19.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.525.506.6222.22%18.11%18.18%15.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.17%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%EV -5.75%E -0.548%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.61%EV +8.35%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.124%3.4%2026-05-16 14:20
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.38%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +1.47%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004%6.1%2026-05-16 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.38%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +1.47%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004%6.1%2026-05-16 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +1.47%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004%7.2%2026-05-16 14:20
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 75.78%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000%11.45I 8.73%NM 8.34%EV +2.77%E +0.242%K +0.266%G +0.007%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.89%EV -1.64%E -0.272%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 14:20
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.80%E -0.300%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -1.80%E -0.300%K -0.360%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 14:25
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.80%E -0.300%K -0.360%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 14:15
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.95%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -3.44%E -0.583%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 14:13
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.24%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -3.51%E -0.326%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.07%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -5.07%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -8.17%E -6.64%K -35.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -23.70%E -2.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -5.07%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:25
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 74.04%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.76I 10.25%NM 9.63%EV -12.39%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.32%EV -5.73%E -0.995%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:20
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 14:00
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 14:20
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 74.68%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -5.75%E -0.548%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:20
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:20
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:25
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -5.75%E -0.548%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV -8.00%E -0.780%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 14:23
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:20
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:20
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.16%EV -10.41%E -8.68%K -52.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -6.71%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 14:25
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -21.46%E -2.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -8.35%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -21.46%E -2.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -8.35%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:20
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.81%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +7.71%E +0.643%K +0.701%G +0.054%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 14:25
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:20
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:25
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:25
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 14:15
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.98%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 14:15
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV +3.22%E +0.280%K +0.307%G +0.010%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -11.62%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 14:20
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV +3.22%E +0.280%K +0.307%G +0.010%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -11.62%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 14:20
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:20
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:20
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 73.83%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:25
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.62%EV -5.75%E -0.548%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -14.08%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:19
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:20
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:20
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:20
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.66%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 14:25
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:20
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -4.44%E -3.47%K -15.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:20
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -6.68%E -5.34%K -26.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.26%E -0.115%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 14:25
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 14:20
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -5.93%E -4.71%K -22.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 14:20
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 72.54%EV -7.42%E -5.99%K -30.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -14.73%E -1.55%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -18.17%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 14:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -2.95%E -2.27%K -9.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.22%E -2.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -19.80%E -4.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.78%EV -8.92%E -7.31%K -40.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -10.24%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -26.35%E -5.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 14:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.30%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.58%0.3%2026-05-16 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-05-16 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-05-16 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-05-16 14:25
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.1%2026-05-16 14:25
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.73%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52%3.1%2026-05-16 14:15