StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Porto v Benfica

2026-09-20 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Porto (Hemma)

Prognos 34.87%2.87rättvist odds
EV -4.12%
Fördel -1.50%
Kelly -2.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.27%34.95%35.00%36.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.652.652.7541.67%37.76%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Benfica (Borta)

Prognos 37.60%2.66rättvist odds
EV -1.11%
Fördel -0.421%
Kelly -0.679%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.63

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.85%37.62%37.54%40.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.452.452.6347.62%40.90%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.53%3.63rättvist odds
EV -0.884%
Fördel -0.246%
Kelly -0.340%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.81%27.43%27.46%28.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.343.303.6031.75%29.90%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: FC Porto (Hemma): 34.87%; Benfica (Borta): 37.60%; Oavgjort: 27.53%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.63. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.60, med väntevärdet -0.884%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 02:11
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:01
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:00
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:01
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:00
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:01
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.18%EV -5.51%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.10%EV -3.36%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 02:16
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 02:15
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:06
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:10
Bovada🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.17%EV -6.56%E -2.45%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:11
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -5.62%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 03:35
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:01
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 20:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 20:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.59%EV -10.51%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 20:01
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 23:39
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:10
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:10
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.11%E -0.421%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 00:20
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:40
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:45
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 02:15
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 23:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-14 02:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.27%EV -10.05%E -3.89%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.87%EV -21.04%E -10.02%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 25.85%EV -8.59%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-14 02:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.84%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.51%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -14.58%E -5.95%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-14 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -14.58%E -5.95%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-14 02:11
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -13.52%E -5.88%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-14 02:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (2)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 34.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%7.1%2026-09-14 05:45
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%13.8%2026-09-14 02:16