Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Porto v Benfica

2026-09-20 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Porto (Casa)

Previsione 34.87%2.87quota equa
EV -4.12%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.27%34.95%35.00%36.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.652.652.7541.67%37.76%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Benfica (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.60%2.66quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.421%
Kelly -0.679%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.85%37.62%37.54%40.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.452.452.6347.62%40.90%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.53%3.63quota equa
EV -0.884%
Vantaggio -0.246%
Kelly -0.340%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.81%27.43%27.46%28.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.343.303.6031.75%29.90%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: FC Porto (Casa): 34.87%; Benfica (Trasferta): 37.60%; Pareggio: 27.53%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.63. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.60, con un valore atteso del -0.884%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 02:11
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:01
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:00
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:01
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:00
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:01
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.18%EV -5.51%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.10%EV -3.36%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 02:16
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 02:15
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:06
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:10
Bovada🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.17%EV -6.56%E -2.45%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:11
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -5.62%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 03:35
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:01
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 20:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 20:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.59%EV -10.51%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 20:01
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 23:39
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:10
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 02:10
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.11%E -0.421%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 00:20
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:40
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:45
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 02:15
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 23:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-14 02:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.27%EV -10.05%E -3.89%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.87%EV -21.04%E -10.02%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 25.85%EV -8.59%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-14 02:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.84%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.51%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -14.58%E -5.95%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-14 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -14.58%E -5.95%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-14 02:11
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -13.52%E -5.88%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-14 02:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 34.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%7.1%2026-09-14 05:45
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%13.8%2026-09-14 02:16