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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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FC Porto v Benfica

Inizio: 2026-09-20 19:31 UTC

Finale: FC Porto 3–1 Benfica

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Porto (Casa)

Previsione 33.62%2.97quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -0.744%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.00%33.69%33.63%35.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.752.752.9140.00%36.37%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Benfica (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.43%2.67quota equa
EV -0.433%
Vantaggio -0.163%
Kelly -0.261%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.70%37.38%37.39%38.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.472.462.6643.48%40.42%40.57%37.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.95%3.45quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.463%
Kelly -0.656%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.17%28.93%28.98%30.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.13%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FC Porto (Casa): 33.62%; Benfica (Trasferta): 37.43%; Pareggio: 28.95%. Per Benfica (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.67. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.66, con un valore atteso del -0.433%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -2.16%E -0.744%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.98%EV -1.93%E -0.737%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-20 19:29
Coolbet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV -3.17%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -1.58%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 19:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.17%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 19:29
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.07%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 19:24
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 19:09
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.90%EV -4.52%E -1.59%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -4.18%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.49%EV -2.15%E -0.637%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.67%EV -5.19%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.70%EV -0.433%E -0.163%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.67%EV -5.19%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.70%EV -0.433%E -0.163%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:29
BetUS🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.67%EV -5.19%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.70%EV -0.433%E -0.163%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 19:29
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 19:09
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.58%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.58%E -0.463%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 19:24
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 19:23
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:14
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 19:09
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.35%EV -6.20%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.44%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:09
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.02%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:09
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 19:24
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 19:24
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.16%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 19:09
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 19:09
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.29%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.04%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 19:29
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.04%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 19:29
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.04%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.04%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 19:29
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.04%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 19:29
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -9.04%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 19:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 19:24
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 19:09
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.16%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 19:29
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.16%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 19:24
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -10.91%E -4.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.91%E -4.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.91%E -4.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.91%E -4.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 19:29
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.91%E -4.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 19:29
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.91%E -4.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 18:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.32%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.18%EV -9.42%E -3.89%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.91%E -4.12%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.16%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -10.91%E -4.12%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -10.91%E -4.12%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.95%EV -9.42%E -3.89%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 19:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.91%E -4.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 19:19
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -11.91%E -4.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.16%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 19:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -12.59%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -15.95%E -6.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.16%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 18:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-09-20 19:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-09-20 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-09-20 19:30
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-20 19:30
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.71%1.1%2026-09-20 19:30
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.88%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-09-20 19:30