Langue:Français
FC Porto v Benfica
Résultat du match
FC Porto (Local)
Prévision 34.87%2.87cote équitable
EV -4.12%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.27%34.95%35.00%36.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.652.652.7541.67%37.76%37.74%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Benfica (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.60%2.66cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.421%
Kelly -0.679%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.85%37.62%37.54%40.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.452.452.6347.62%40.90%40.82%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.53%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.884%
Avantage -0.246%
Kelly -0.340%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%27.43%27.46%28.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.343.303.6031.75%29.90%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : FC Porto (Local) : 34.87% ; Benfica (Visiteur) : 37.60% ; Match nul : 27.53%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.63. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance de -0.884% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 02:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 20:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.18%EV -5.51%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.10%EV -3.36%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-14 02:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 02:06 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 02:06 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.17%EV -6.56%E -2.45%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 02:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -5.62%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 03:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 20:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 20:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.30%E -3.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.59%EV -10.51%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 20:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -5.24%E -2.08%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.11%E -0.421%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.884%E -0.246%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.88%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 02:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.76%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-14 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 33.27%EV -10.05%E -3.89%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.87%EV -21.04%E -10.02%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 25.85%EV -8.59%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-14 02:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.84%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.51%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -14.58%E -5.95%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-14 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -14.58%E -5.95%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.64%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-14 02:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -16.32%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -13.52%E -5.88%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-14 02:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (2)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.49% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 05:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91% | 13.8% | 2026-09-14 02:16 |