赔率学院

FC Porto v Arouca

开赛时间: 2026-02-27 18:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

FC Porto (主队)

预测 78.29%1.28公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -1.71%
Kelly -8.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
75.06%78.19%78.26%80.56%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.141.201.211.2587.72%83.23%82.64%80.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Arouca (客队)

预测 6.77%14.76公平赔率
EV +15.14%
优势 +0.891%
Kelly +0.946%
增长率 +0.143%

假设最高赔率为 17.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.50%6.86%6.81%8.49%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
11.0013.0212.7517.009.09%7.68%7.84%5.88%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 14.94%6.69公平赔率
EV +8.32%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.33%
增长率 +0.111%

假设最高赔率为 7.25

博彩公司预测分布
13.31%14.95%14.93%18.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.006.346.447.2520.00%15.78%15.54%13.79%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.56%EV -9.19%E -7.92%K -57.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +15.14%E +0.891%K +0.946%G +0.143%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.95%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.79%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.96%EV +8.37%E +0.523%K +0.558%G +0.047%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.62%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.43%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +8.37%E +0.523%K +0.558%G +0.047%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 18:14
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.41%E -7.18%K -49.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +8.37%E +0.523%K +0.558%G +0.047%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.00%EV -9.19%E -7.92%K -57.42%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.73%EV +8.37%E +0.523%K +0.558%G +0.047%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 79.76%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%15.41I 6.49%NM 6.21%EV +4.37%E +0.284%K +0.303%G +0.013%6.82I 14.66%NM 14.03%EV +1.90%E +0.278%K +0.326%G +0.006%4.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV +1.59%E +0.106%K +0.114%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +4.59%E +0.655%K +0.764%G +0.035%5.0%2026-02-27 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +1.59%E +0.106%K +0.114%G +0.002%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.41%E -7.18%K -49.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +1.59%E +0.106%K +0.114%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 18:39
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -9.97%E -8.67%K -66.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV +1.59%E +0.106%K +0.114%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:38
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 79.43%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.52I 6.89%NM 6.51%EV -1.66%E -0.114%K -0.123%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.06%EV +0.402%E +0.060%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 17:59
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.90%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -1.79%E -0.124%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -11.85%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 18:14
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 77.90%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -1.79%E -0.124%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -11.85%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.79%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.90%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.32%EV +8.32%E +1.15%K +1.33%G +0.111%3.6%2026-02-27 17:59
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.87%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.87%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 18:38
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 18:14
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 18:38
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.75%E -9.43%K -76.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.40%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-27 18:39
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 78.40%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%13.32I 7.51%NM 7.06%EV -9.78%E -0.735%K -0.794%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.54%EV -3.33%E -0.515%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 18:14
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -13.34%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 18:14
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -13.34%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 18:14
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -13.34%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 18:35
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 16:59
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.09%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 17:57
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 75.06%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -25.30%E -5.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.64%EV -9.97%E -8.67%K -66.47%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -15.34%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.13%EV -4.38%E -0.684%K -0.811%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 17:58
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.85%EV -2.14%E -1.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%12.10I 8.26%NM 8.04%EV -18.05%E -1.49%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.10%EV +3.09%E +0.448%K +0.524%G +0.016%2.8%2026-02-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.14%E -1.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.14%E -1.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 17:59
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:40
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +4.59%E +0.655%K +0.764%G +0.035%7.4%2026-02-27 17:58
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 17:57
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:40
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.37%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.43%EV -8.41%E -7.18%K -49.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%9.0%2026-02-27 17:58
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.04%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV -23.80%E -2.12%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -5.13%E -0.807%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:13
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -2.92%E -2.36%K -12.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.50%E -2.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.09%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -2.92%E -2.36%K -12.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.50%E -2.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.09%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -25.50%E -2.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-27 18:40
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.08%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.02%1.9%2026-02-27 18:39