Die Schule der Quoten

FC Porto v Arouca

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-27 18:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

FC Porto (Heim)

Prognose 78.29%1.28faire Quote
EV -2.14%
Vorteil -1.71%
Kelly -8.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.06%78.19%78.26%80.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.141.201.211.2587.72%83.23%82.64%80.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arouca (Auswärts)

Prognose 6.77%14.76faire Quote
EV +15.14%
Vorteil +0.891%
Kelly +0.946%
Wachstum +0.143%

bei einer Höchstquote von 17.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.50%6.86%6.81%8.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
11.0013.0212.7517.009.09%7.68%7.84%5.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 14.94%6.69faire Quote
EV +8.32%
Vorteil +1.15%
Kelly +1.33%
Wachstum +0.111%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.31%14.95%14.93%18.01%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.006.346.447.2520.00%15.78%15.54%13.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.56%EV -9.19%E -7.92%K -57.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +15.14%E +0.891%K +0.946%G +0.143%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.95%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.79%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.96%EV +8.37%E +0.523%K +0.558%G +0.047%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.62%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.43%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +8.37%E +0.523%K +0.558%G +0.047%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 18:14
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.41%E -7.18%K -49.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +8.37%E +0.523%K +0.558%G +0.047%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.00%EV -9.19%E -7.92%K -57.42%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.73%EV +8.37%E +0.523%K +0.558%G +0.047%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 79.76%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%15.41I 6.49%NM 6.21%EV +4.37%E +0.284%K +0.303%G +0.013%6.82I 14.66%NM 14.03%EV +1.90%E +0.278%K +0.326%G +0.006%4.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV +1.59%E +0.106%K +0.114%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +4.59%E +0.655%K +0.764%G +0.035%5.0%2026-02-27 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +1.59%E +0.106%K +0.114%G +0.002%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.41%E -7.18%K -49.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +1.59%E +0.106%K +0.114%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 18:39
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -9.97%E -8.67%K -66.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV +1.59%E +0.106%K +0.114%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:38
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 79.43%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.52I 6.89%NM 6.51%EV -1.66%E -0.114%K -0.123%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.06%EV +0.402%E +0.060%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 17:59
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.90%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -1.79%E -0.124%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -11.85%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 18:14
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 77.90%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -1.79%E -0.124%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -11.85%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.79%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.90%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.32%EV +8.32%E +1.15%K +1.33%G +0.111%3.6%2026-02-27 17:59
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.87%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.87%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 18:38
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 18:14
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 18:38
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.75%E -9.43%K -76.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.40%EV -5.18%E -0.370%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-27 18:39
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 78.40%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%13.32I 7.51%NM 7.06%EV -9.78%E -0.735%K -0.794%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.54%EV -3.33%E -0.515%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 18:14
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -13.34%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 18:14
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -13.34%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 18:14
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -13.34%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 18:35
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -2.88%E -0.444%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 16:59
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.09%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 17:57
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 75.06%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -11.95%E -0.919%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -25.30%E -5.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.64%EV -9.97%E -8.67%K -66.47%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -15.34%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.13%EV -4.38%E -0.684%K -0.811%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 17:58
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.85%EV -2.14%E -1.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%12.10I 8.26%NM 8.04%EV -18.05%E -1.49%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.10%EV +3.09%E +0.448%K +0.524%G +0.016%2.8%2026-02-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.14%E -1.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.14%E -1.71%K -8.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 17:59
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:40
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +4.59%E +0.655%K +0.764%G +0.035%7.4%2026-02-27 17:58
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -18.73%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 17:57
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:40
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.37%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.43%EV -8.41%E -7.18%K -49.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -22.11%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV +0.850%E +0.126%K +0.148%G +0.001%9.0%2026-02-27 17:58
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.04%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV -23.80%E -2.12%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -5.13%E -0.807%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:13
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -2.92%E -2.36%K -12.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.50%E -2.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.09%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -2.92%E -2.36%K -12.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.50%E -2.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.09%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.36%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -25.50%E -2.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.36%E -1.73%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-27 18:40
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.08%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.02%1.9%2026-02-27 18:39