Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Famalicão v Sporting Lisbon

Начало: 2026-09-13 19:34 UTC

Итог: Famalicão 1–1 Sporting Lisbon

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Famalicão (Хозяева)

Прогноз 15.79%6.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.66%
Преимущество +0.409%
Kelly +0.484%
Рост +0.013%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.25%15.75%15.75%17.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.205.936.006.5019.23%16.85%16.67%15.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Sporting Lisbon (Гости)

Прогноз 61.45%1.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.13%
Преимущество -2.65%
Kelly -7.38%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.56

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.52%61.49%61.51%64.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.70%66.67%64.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 22.75%4.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.17%
Преимущество -0.505%
Kelly -0.658%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.11%22.76%22.75%23.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.854.094.104.3025.97%24.45%24.39%23.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Famalicão (Хозяева): 15.79%; Sporting Lisbon (Гости): 61.45%; Ничья: 22.75%. Для исхода «Famalicão (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.33. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.66%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.20%E -4.77%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 19:20
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:50
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -9.05%E -6.11%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 19:24
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:25
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -13.35%E -9.47%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.37%EV -13.96%E -9.97%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 18:50
Pinnacle🎯6.24I 16.03%NM 15.45%EV -1.45%E -0.232%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -4.13%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.74%EV -3.54%E -0.834%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -2.08%E -0.335%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 19:11
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -2.08%E -0.335%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 19:11
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:56
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:11
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:55
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:08
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:40
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:21
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 19:25
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 18:40
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 19:25
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 19:20
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 19:25
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -6.82%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:41
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -6.82%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:30
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 18:41
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.36%E -3.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:30
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.33%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.58%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:15
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 19:25
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 19:20
betano_uk🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 18:39
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 18:39
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:41
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -9.05%E -6.11%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.13%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -16.29%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.97%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -17.87%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -8.43%E -5.66%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 18:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-09-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-09-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-09-13 19:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-09-13 19:25
Smarkets◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-09-13 19:20
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-09-13 19:05