Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Famalicão (Local): 15.79%; Sporting Lisbon (Visitante): 61.45%; Empate: 22.75%. Para Famalicão (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.33. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.66%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.20%E -4.77%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -9.05%E -6.11%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 19:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -13.35%E -9.47%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.37%EV -13.96%E -9.97%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.45%EV -1.45%E -0.232%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -4.13%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.74%EV -3.54%E -0.834%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -2.08%E -0.335%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -2.08%E -0.335%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 19:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 19:21 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -6.82%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 18:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -6.82%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 18:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.36%E -3.48%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.33%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.58%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 18:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -9.05%E -6.11%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.13%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -16.29%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.97%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -17.87%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -8.43%E -5.66%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25% | 0.0% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 19:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 2.1% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |