Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Famalicão v Sporting Lisbon

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 19:34 UTC

Score final : Famalicão 1–1 Sporting Lisbon

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Famalicão (Local)

Prévision 15.79%6.33cote équitable
EV +2.66%
Avantage +0.409%
Kelly +0.484%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.25%15.75%15.75%17.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.205.936.006.5019.23%16.85%16.67%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sporting Lisbon (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.45%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -7.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.52%61.49%61.51%64.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.70%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.75%4.40cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.505%
Kelly -0.658%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.11%22.76%22.75%23.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.094.104.3025.97%24.45%24.39%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Famalicão (Local) : 15.79% ; Sporting Lisbon (Visiteur) : 61.45% ; Match nul : 22.75%. Pour Famalicão (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.33. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.66%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.20%E -4.77%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 19:20
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:50
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.484%G +0.013%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -9.05%E -6.11%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 19:24
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.63%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:25
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.37%EV -13.35%E -9.47%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.37%EV -13.96%E -9.97%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 18:50
Pinnacle🎯6.24I 16.03%NM 15.45%EV -1.45%E -0.232%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81%EV -4.13%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.74%EV -3.54%E -0.834%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -2.08%E -0.335%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 19:11
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -2.08%E -0.335%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 19:11
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:56
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -3.66%E -0.599%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 18:55
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:11
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:55
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:08
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 18:40
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:21
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 19:25
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 18:40
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 19:25
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 19:20
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 19:25
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -6.82%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:41
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -6.82%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:30
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 18:41
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -2.17%E -0.505%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.36%E -3.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:30
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.33%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.58%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:15
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 19:25
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.59%E -4.33%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 19:20
betano_uk🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 18:39
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 18:39
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -9.18%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:41
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -11.55%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -11.50%E -7.99%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -9.05%E -6.11%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -10.13%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -16.29%E -3.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.97%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -17.87%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -8.43%E -5.66%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-09-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-09-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-09-13 19:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-09-13 19:25
Smarkets◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-09-13 19:20
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-09-13 19:05