Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 8.09
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Famalicão (Local): 64.25%; Moreirense FC (Visit): 13.11%; Draw: 22.64%. For Moreirense FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.10%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.13%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.92%EV +6.10%E +0.754%K +0.860%G +0.052% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 19:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.06%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 19:42 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.76%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -4.26%E -0.584%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -6.06%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 13.31%EV -4.66%E -0.641%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.19%EV -1.30%E -0.298%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.92%E -0.679%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.36%EV -7.54%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.54%EV -5.38%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.61%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -3.79%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 19:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.35%EV -9.41%E -6.67%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -9.51%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -9.51%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 19:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.75%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.05%E -7.18%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -21.31%E -3.55%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -18.51%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.10% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.89% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 19:45 |