L’École des cotes

Famalicão v Moreirense FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 19:49 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Famalicão (Local)

Prévision 64.25%1.56cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -2.42%
Kelly -7.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.64%64.24%64.25%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Moreirense FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.11%7.63cote équitable
EV +6.10%
Avantage +0.754%
Kelly +0.860%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 8.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.92%13.15%13.09%14.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.927.008.0916.67%14.46%14.29%12.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.64%4.42cote équitable
EV -0.396%
Avantage -0.090%
Kelly -0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.23%22.61%22.65%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.094.104.4027.78%24.43%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.13%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.92%EV +6.10%E +0.754%K +0.860%G +0.052%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:43
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.06%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:42
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.76%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -4.26%E -0.584%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -6.06%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 19:44
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.31%EV -4.66%E -0.641%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.19%EV -1.30%E -0.298%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 19:44
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.92%E -0.679%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 19:44
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 19:45
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.36%EV -7.54%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.54%EV -5.38%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.61%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 19:44
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 19:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -3.79%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.595%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:45
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:43
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 19:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 19:45
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.35%EV -9.41%E -6.67%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -9.51%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -9.51%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 19:45
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 19:45
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 19:45
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 19:45
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:45
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:31
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.75%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 19:45
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 19:45
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.05%E -7.18%K -25.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -21.31%E -3.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -18.51%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-04-10 19:45
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89%1.5%2026-04-10 19:45
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54%2.0%2026-04-10 19:45
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.89%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-10 19:45