La scuola delle quote

Famalicão v Moreirense FC

Inizio: 2026-04-10 19:49 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Famalicão (Casa)

Previsione 64.25%1.56quota equa
EV -3.63%
Vantaggio -2.42%
Kelly -7.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.64%64.24%64.25%65.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Moreirense FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.11%7.63quota equa
EV +6.10%
Vantaggio +0.754%
Kelly +0.860%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.92%13.15%13.09%14.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.927.008.0916.67%14.46%14.29%12.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.64%4.42quota equa
EV -0.396%
Vantaggio -0.090%
Kelly -0.116%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.23%22.61%22.65%23.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.094.104.4027.78%24.43%24.39%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.13%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.92%EV +6.10%E +0.754%K +0.860%G +0.052%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:43
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.06%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:42
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.76%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -4.26%E -0.584%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -6.06%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 19:44
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.31%EV -4.66%E -0.641%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.19%EV -1.30%E -0.298%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 19:44
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.92%E -0.679%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 19:44
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 19:45
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.36%EV -7.54%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.54%EV -5.38%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.61%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 19:44
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 19:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -3.79%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.595%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:45
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:43
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 19:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 19:45
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.35%EV -9.41%E -6.67%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -9.51%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -9.51%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 19:45
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 19:45
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 19:45
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 19:45
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:45
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:31
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.75%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 19:45
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 19:45
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.05%E -7.18%K -25.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -21.31%E -3.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -18.51%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-04-10 19:45
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89%1.5%2026-04-10 19:45
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54%2.0%2026-04-10 19:45
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.89%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-10 19:45