مدرسة الاحتمالات

Famalicão v Moreirense FC

البداية: 2026-04-10 19:49 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Famalicão (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.25%1.56السعر العادل
EV -3.63%
الأفضلية -2.42%
Kelly -7.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.64%64.24%64.25%65.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Moreirense FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.11%7.63السعر العادل
EV +6.10%
الأفضلية +0.754%
Kelly +0.860%
النمو +0.052%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.92%13.15%13.09%14.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.006.927.008.0916.67%14.46%14.29%12.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.64%4.42السعر العادل
EV -0.396%
الأفضلية -0.090%
Kelly -0.116%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.23%22.61%22.65%23.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.094.104.4027.78%24.43%24.39%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.13%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.92%EV +6.10%E +0.754%K +0.860%G +0.052%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:43
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.06%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:42
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 19:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.76%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.77%EV -4.26%E -0.584%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -6.06%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 19:44
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.31%EV -4.66%E -0.641%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.19%EV -1.30%E -0.298%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 19:44
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -4.92%E -0.679%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 19:44
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -5.58%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 19:45
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.36%EV -7.54%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.54%EV -5.38%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.61%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 19:44
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -0.396%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 19:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -3.79%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.595%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:45
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:43
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 19:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 19:44
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 19:45
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.35%EV -9.41%E -6.67%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -9.51%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -9.51%E -1.38%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 19:45
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 19:45
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 19:45
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 19:45
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -4.27%E -2.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 19:45
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:45
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 19:31
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 19:45
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -8.77%E -6.17%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -14.76%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.75%EV -6.84%E -4.72%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 19:45
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -7.48%E -5.20%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 19:45
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -8.13%E -5.68%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.05%E -7.18%K -25.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -21.31%E -3.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -18.51%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-10 19:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-10 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-04-10 19:45
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.10%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89%1.5%2026-04-10 19:45
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54%2.0%2026-04-10 19:45
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.89%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%2.7%2026-04-10 19:45