Language:English
Famalicão v Benfica
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Famalicão (Local)
Prediction 18.48%5.41fair odd
EV +4.22%
Edge +0.748%
Kelly +0.909%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 5.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.50%18.38%18.54%20.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.185.105.6422.22%19.32%19.61%17.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Benfica (Visit)
Prediction 57.87%1.73fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.87%58.06%57.76%60.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.591.601.6867.11%62.97%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.65%4.23fair odd
EV -0.666%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.208%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%23.56%23.69%25.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.963.954.2029.41%25.27%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Famalicão (Local): 18.48%; Benfica (Visit): 57.87%; Draw: 23.65%. For Famalicão (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.22%EV +4.22%E +0.748%K +0.909%G +0.038% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -9.72%E -6.23%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 16:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -9.72%E -6.23%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -10.88%E -7.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 16:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -10.88%E -7.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.39%EV +2.19%E +0.395%K +0.482%G +0.011% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.37%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.23%EV -2.08%E -0.504%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -12.62%E -8.35%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -13.19%E -8.80%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -13.19%E -8.80%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.217%E -0.040%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -7.99%E -5.02%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -0.217%E -0.040%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.35%EV -0.956%E -0.178%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.79%EV -7.52%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.06%E -0.390%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 16:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.06%E -0.390%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 09:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 16:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.99%E -5.02%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -5.09%E -3.11%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.61%EV -6.68%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.30%EV -5.09%E -3.11%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.51%E -2.74%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.51%E -2.74%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 09:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 09:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 09:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 09:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.31%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -9.46%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -10.38%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -5.09%E -3.11%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -10.38%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.94%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -8.94%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -16.85%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.85%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -19.59%E -5.76%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |