مدرسة الاحتمالات

Famalicão v Benfica

البداية: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Famalicão 2–2 Benfica

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Famalicão (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.48%5.41السعر العادل
EV +4.22%
الأفضلية +0.748%
Kelly +0.909%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.50%18.38%18.54%20.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.185.105.6422.22%19.32%19.61%17.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Benfica (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.87%1.73السعر العادل
EV -2.78%
الأفضلية -1.65%
Kelly -4.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.87%58.06%57.76%60.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.491.591.601.6867.11%62.97%62.50%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.65%4.23السعر العادل
EV -0.666%
الأفضلية -0.158%
Kelly -0.208%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.15%23.56%23.69%25.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.963.954.2029.41%25.27%25.32%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet5.64I 17.73%NM 17.22%EV +4.22%E +0.748%K +0.909%G +0.038%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 16:55
ATG (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -9.72%E -6.23%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 16:21
Svenska Spel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -9.72%E -6.23%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 16:20
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:20
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:20
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:20
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.03%E -0.739%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:20
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -10.88%E -7.06%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 16:21
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +3.48%E +0.621%K +0.756%G +0.026%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -10.88%E -7.06%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 16:25
Pinnacle5.53I 18.08%NM 17.39%EV +2.19%E +0.395%K +0.482%G +0.011%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.37%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.23%EV -2.08%E -0.504%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 16:55
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 16:20
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:40
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:20
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:20
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -12.62%E -8.35%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 16:20
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -13.19%E -8.80%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:20
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV +1.63%E +0.297%K +0.362%G +0.006%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -13.19%E -8.80%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 16:20
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.217%E -0.040%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -7.99%E -5.02%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 16:14
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -0.217%E -0.040%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -13.77%E -9.24%K -28.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 16:20
GTbets5.36I 18.66%NM 17.35%EV -0.956%E -0.178%K -0.219%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.79%EV -7.52%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:50
Bovada5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.06%E -0.390%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 16:56
Tipico (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.06%E -0.390%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 09:11
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:20
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:20
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:01
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.99%E -5.02%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 16:55
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -5.09%E -3.11%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:55
BetUS5.05I 19.80%NM 18.61%EV -6.68%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.30%EV -5.09%E -3.11%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.51%E -2.74%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:45
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.51%E -2.74%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 16:39
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.89%EV -3.93%E -2.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.76%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 09:11
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 09:11
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 09:11
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:59
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:45
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -0.666%E -0.158%K -0.208%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 09:11
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 16:45
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 16:55
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:45
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:55
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.31%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 16:00
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:55
NetBet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -9.46%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Betclic (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -10.38%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -5.09%E -3.11%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:44
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -10.38%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.94%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 16:55
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:00
Unibet (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -8.94%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 16:39
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.14%E -5.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.13%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 16:55
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 16:45
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 16:40
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -16.85%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -8.56%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -6.58%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.85%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -19.59%E -5.76%K -8.16%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-02 16:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%1.9%2026-05-02 16:55
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-05-02 16:55