Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.32
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 3.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estoril (Local): 30.00%; Gil Vicente (Visit): 42.30%; Draw: 27.70%. For Estoril (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.32, with an expected value of -0.391%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -0.391%E -0.118%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -0.391%E -0.118%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 17:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.691%E -0.209%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.05%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -0.991%E -0.300%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.14%EV -3.39%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.37%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -2.22%E -0.630%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.77%EV -7.37%E -3.36%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.87%EV -5.19%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.52%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -5.27%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.52%EV -6.52%E -2.95%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 17:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.40%E -7.70%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.90%E -5.63%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 17:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 17:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-22 17:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.17%EV -9.39%E -3.11%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.45%EV -8.04%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.87%E -0.805%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.87%E -0.805%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.33%E -4.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-22 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.56%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.59%E -4.72%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |