L’École des cotes

Estoril v Gil Vicente

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Estoril (Local)

Prévision 30.00%3.33cote équitable
EV -0.391%
Avantage -0.118%
Kelly -0.169%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.91%30.01%30.00%31.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.083.103.3234.72%32.45%32.26%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gil Vicente (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.30%2.36cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.620%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.03%42.24%42.33%43.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.232.202.3350.00%44.92%45.45%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.70%3.61cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -0.630%
Kelly -0.879%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%27.75%27.67%28.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.303.5333.33%30.02%30.30%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -0.391%E -0.118%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:04
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -0.391%E -0.118%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:04
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.691%E -0.209%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.05%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 17:55
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -0.991%E -0.300%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:55
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 30.14%EV -3.39%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.37%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -2.22%E -0.630%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:04
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.77%EV -7.37%E -3.36%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 17:55
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:19
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:19
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.87%EV -5.19%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.52%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -5.27%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 17:30
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:05
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:05
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.52%EV -6.52%E -2.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 17:55
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:55
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 16:14
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 16:15
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:15
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:05
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 17:05
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 17:20
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 17:05
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 17:05
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 17:04
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.40%E -7.70%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.90%E -5.63%K -8.45%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-22 17:19
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 17:20
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 17:19
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:29
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:30
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:30
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 17:34
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 17:19
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 30.17%EV -9.39%E -3.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.45%EV -8.04%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 17:34
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:19
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:19
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:20
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:20
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.87%E -0.805%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:20
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.87%E -0.805%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:20
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:19
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:19
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:20
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 16:15
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.33%E -4.87%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 17:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 17:04
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:50
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:49
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.56%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 17:19
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 17:05
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 17:05
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.59%E -4.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-02-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-02-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-02-22 17:55
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-02-22 17:55