A Escola das Odds

Estoril v Gil Vicente

Início: 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estoril (Local)

Previsão 30.00%3.33odd justa
EV -0.391%
Vantagem -0.118%
Kelly -0.169%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.91%30.01%30.00%31.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.083.103.3234.72%32.45%32.26%30.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gil Vicente (Visitante)

Previsão 42.30%2.36odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.620%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.03%42.24%42.33%43.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.232.202.3350.00%44.92%45.45%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.70%3.61odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.630%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.78%27.75%27.67%28.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.333.303.5333.33%30.02%30.30%28.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -0.391%E -0.118%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:04
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -0.391%E -0.118%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.64%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:04
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.691%E -0.209%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.05%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 17:55
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -0.991%E -0.300%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:55
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 30.14%EV -3.39%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.37%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.49%EV -2.22%E -0.630%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:04
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.77%EV -7.37%E -3.36%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 17:55
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:19
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:19
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.87%EV -5.19%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.52%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -5.27%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 17:30
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:05
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:05
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.52%EV -6.52%E -2.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 17:55
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:55
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 16:14
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.06%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 16:15
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:15
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:05
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 17:05
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 17:20
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 17:05
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 17:05
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 17:04
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.40%E -7.70%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.90%E -5.63%K -8.45%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-22 17:19
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 17:20
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 17:19
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:29
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:30
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:30
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 17:34
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 17:19
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 30.17%EV -9.39%E -3.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.45%EV -8.04%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 17:34
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:19
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:19
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:20
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -1.44%E -0.620%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 17:20
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.87%E -0.805%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:20
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.87%E -0.805%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:20
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:19
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:19
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:20
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 16:15
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.33%E -4.87%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 17:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 17:04
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:50
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 15:49
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.56%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.36%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 17:19
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 17:05
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 17:05
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.59%E -4.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.59%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-02-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-02-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-02-22 17:55
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-02-22 17:55