A Escola das Odds

Estoril v FC Porto

Início: 2026-04-12 19:32 UTC

Final: Estoril 1–3 FC Porto

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estoril (Local)

Previsão 13.93%7.18odd justa
EV +11.45%
Vantagem +1.43%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescimento +0.187%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.54%13.86%13.99%15.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.907.067.008.0016.95%14.16%14.29%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Porto (Visitante)

Previsão 65.71%1.52odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.957%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.10%65.95%65.51%69.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.391.401.5075.76%71.76%71.43%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.36%4.91odd justa
EV +1.80%
Vantagem +0.360%
Kelly +0.449%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.71%20.19%20.49%21.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.624.605.0025.00%21.64%21.74%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -9.32%E -6.75%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 19:30
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -9.32%E -6.75%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 19:30
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +8.66%E +1.11%K +1.27%G +0.110%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.449%G +0.008%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Pinnacle7.74I 12.92%NM 12.43%EV +7.83%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.74%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.26%E -0.259%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 19:29
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.238%E -0.049%K -0.061%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 19:29
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 19:30
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -13.26%E -10.05%K -41.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:28
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:25
BetUS7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:29
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.63%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:30
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.63%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.56%E -4.64%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 19:30
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.88%E -0.562%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.88%E -0.562%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -5.96%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -7.36%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 19:29
PointsBet (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.96%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 19:29
1xBet6.61I 15.13%NM 14.68%EV -7.92%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.44%E -0.957%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.61%EV -4.11%E -0.872%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -8.05%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Marathon Bet6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -8.75%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.13%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 19:29
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.449%G +0.008%5.8%2026-04-12 19:29
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 19:28
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 19:29
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.84%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 19:30
GTbets6.28I 15.92%NM 14.77%EV -12.51%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 19.91%EV -5.12%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 19:29
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:30
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:29
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.32%EV -17.81%E -3.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.13%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-04-12 19:30
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.13%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.84%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.03%3.0%2026-04-12 19:30