Szkoła Kursów

Estoril v FC Porto

Początek: 2026-04-12 19:32 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Estoril 1–3 FC Porto

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Estoril (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 13.93%7.18kurs godziwy
EV +11.45%
Przewaga +1.43%
Kelly +1.64%
Wzrost +0.187%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.54%13.86%13.99%15.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.907.067.008.0016.95%14.16%14.29%12.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

FC Porto (Goście)

Prognoza 65.71%1.52kurs godziwy
EV -1.44%
Przewaga -0.957%
Kelly -2.87%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.10%65.95%65.51%69.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.391.401.5075.76%71.76%71.43%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 20.36%4.91kurs godziwy
EV +1.80%
Przewaga +0.360%
Kelly +0.449%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.71%20.19%20.49%21.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.624.605.0025.00%21.64%21.74%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -9.32%E -6.75%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 19:30
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -9.32%E -6.75%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 19:30
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +8.66%E +1.11%K +1.27%G +0.110%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.449%G +0.008%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Pinnacle7.74I 12.92%NM 12.43%EV +7.83%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.74%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.26%E -0.259%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 19:29
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.238%E -0.049%K -0.061%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 19:29
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 19:30
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -13.26%E -10.05%K -41.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:28
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:25
BetUS7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:29
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.63%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:30
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.63%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.56%E -4.64%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 19:30
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.88%E -0.562%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.88%E -0.562%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -5.96%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -7.36%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 19:29
PointsBet (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.96%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 19:29
1xBet6.61I 15.13%NM 14.68%EV -7.92%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.44%E -0.957%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.61%EV -4.11%E -0.872%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -8.05%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Marathon Bet6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -8.75%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.13%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 19:29
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.449%G +0.008%5.8%2026-04-12 19:29
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 19:28
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 19:29
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.84%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 19:30
GTbets6.28I 15.92%NM 14.77%EV -12.51%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 19.91%EV -5.12%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 19:29
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:30
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:29
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.32%EV -17.81%E -3.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.13%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-04-12 19:30
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.13%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.84%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.03%3.0%2026-04-12 19:30