Die Schule der Quoten

Estoril v FC Porto

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-12 19:32 UTC

Endstand: Estoril 1–3 FC Porto

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Estoril (Heim)

Prognose 13.93%7.18faire Quote
EV +11.45%
Vorteil +1.43%
Kelly +1.64%
Wachstum +0.187%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.54%13.86%13.99%15.58%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.907.067.008.0016.95%14.16%14.29%12.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

FC Porto (Auswärts)

Prognose 65.71%1.52faire Quote
EV -1.44%
Vorteil -0.957%
Kelly -2.87%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.10%65.95%65.51%69.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.391.401.5075.76%71.76%71.43%66.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 20.36%4.91faire Quote
EV +1.80%
Vorteil +0.360%
Kelly +0.449%
Wachstum +0.008%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.71%20.19%20.49%21.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.004.624.605.0025.00%21.64%21.74%20.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -9.32%E -6.75%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 19:30
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -9.32%E -6.75%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 19:30
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +11.45%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.187%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +8.66%E +1.11%K +1.27%G +0.110%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.449%G +0.008%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Pinnacle7.74I 12.92%NM 12.43%EV +7.83%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.74%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.26%E -0.259%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 19:29
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.238%E -0.049%K -0.061%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 19:29
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 19:30
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 19:30
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV +4.48%E +0.598%K +0.690%G +0.031%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -13.26%E -10.05%K -41.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 19:30
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 19:28
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:25
BetUS7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.31%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:29
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV +1.00%E +0.138%K +0.160%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:29
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.63%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:30
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.63%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -2.48%E -0.355%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.56%E -4.64%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 19:30
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.88%E -0.562%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -3.88%E -0.562%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -5.96%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -7.36%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 19:29
PointsBet (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.96%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 19:29
1xBet6.61I 15.13%NM 14.68%EV -7.92%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.44%E -0.957%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.61%EV -4.11%E -0.872%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 19:29
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -8.05%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Marathon Bet6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -8.75%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.13%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 19:29
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV +1.80%E +0.360%K +0.449%G +0.008%5.8%2026-04-12 19:29
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.35%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 19:28
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:29
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 19:29
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.45%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.84%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 19:30
GTbets6.28I 15.92%NM 14.77%EV -12.51%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 19.91%EV -5.12%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 19:29
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.29%E -0.693%K -0.878%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 19:30
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -12.93%E -2.07%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.27%E -0.474%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:29
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -16.41%E -2.74%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.38%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 19:29
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.32%EV -17.81%E -3.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.13%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -10.42%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 19:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-12 19:30
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-04-12 19:30
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.0%2026-04-12 19:30
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.13%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.84%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.03%3.0%2026-04-12 19:30