Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.23
assuming max odds 3.55
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CF Estrela (Local): 43.43%; Académico de Viseu (Visit): 28.35%; Draw: 28.22%. For Académico de Viseu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.636%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.781%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.14%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.55%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -15.31%E -7.85%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.46%EV -7.05%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -5.88%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.53%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 14:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.96%EV -9.22%E -4.41%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.68%EV -5.88%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.36%EV -8.57%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.23%E -0.353%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 14:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -10.09%E -4.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.13%E -6.57%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.99%EV -11.83%E -5.83%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -11.27%E -3.60%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 14:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |