L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

CF Estrela v Académico de Viseu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 14:29 UTC

Score final : CF Estrela 0–2 Académico de Viseu

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CF Estrela (Local)

Prévision 43.43%2.30cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.82%43.55%43.42%45.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.112.122.2351.28%47.50%47.17%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Académico de Viseu (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.35%3.53cote équitable
EV +0.636%
Avantage +0.179%
Kelly +0.250%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.45%28.24%28.36%29.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.343.303.5532.79%29.96%30.30%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.22%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.494%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.21%28.23%29.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.303.303.5031.25%30.31%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : CF Estrela (Local) : 43.43% ; Académico de Viseu (Visiteur) : 28.35% ; Match nul : 28.22%. Pour Académico de Viseu (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.53. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.55, soit une espérance positive de +0.636%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:14
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:10
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:14
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.781%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:24
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.14%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.55%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 14:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 14:14
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 14:14
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:14
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -15.31%E -7.85%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.46%EV -7.05%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -5.88%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.53%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:18
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.96%EV -9.22%E -4.41%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.68%EV -5.88%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.36%EV -8.57%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:24
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:24
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.23%E -0.353%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:09
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:10
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 14:23
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:05
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:09
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:09
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 14:04
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 14:09
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:14
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:09
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:09
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -10.09%E -4.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.13%E -6.57%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.99%EV -11.83%E -5.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -11.27%E -3.60%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-09-20 14:10