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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

CF Estrela v Académico de Viseu

Início: 2026-09-20 14:29 UTC

Final: CF Estrela 0–2 Académico de Viseu

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CF Estrela (Local)

Previsão 43.43%2.30odd justa
EV -3.14%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.82%43.55%43.42%45.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.112.122.2351.28%47.50%47.17%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Académico de Viseu (Visitante)

Previsão 28.35%3.53odd justa
EV +0.636%
Vantagem +0.179%
Kelly +0.250%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.45%28.24%28.36%29.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.343.303.5532.79%29.96%30.30%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.22%3.54odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.353%
Kelly -0.494%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.11%28.21%28.23%29.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.303.303.5031.25%30.31%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: CF Estrela (Local): 43.43%; Académico de Viseu (Visitante): 28.35%; Empate: 28.22%. Para Académico de Viseu (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.636%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:14
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:10
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:14
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV +0.636%E +0.179%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.781%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:24
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.14%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.55%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 14:15
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 14:14
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -14.44%E -7.33%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 14:14
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.87%E -7.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:14
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -15.31%E -7.85%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.46%EV -7.05%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -5.88%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.53%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:18
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.96%EV -9.22%E -4.41%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.68%EV -5.88%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.36%EV -8.57%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:24
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:24
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.23%E -0.353%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:09
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:10
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 14:23
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:05
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:09
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:09
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 14:04
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 14:09
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 14:14
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:09
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:09
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -10.09%E -4.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.13%E -6.57%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.99%EV -11.83%E -5.83%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -11.27%E -3.60%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-09-20 14:10