Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Braga v Famalicão

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 19:34 UTC

Final: Braga 2–2 Famalicão

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Braga (Local)

Prediction 49.39%2.02fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.65%49.46%49.16%51.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.901.9556.50%53.06%52.77%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Famalicão (Visit)

Prediction 23.81%4.20fair odd
EV +0.486%
Edge +0.115%
Kelly +0.151%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.61%23.80%24.01%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.883.904.2228.17%25.76%25.64%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.86%26.74%26.83%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.503.6032.26%28.87%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Braga (Local): 49.39%; Famalicão (Visit): 23.81%; Draw: 26.79%. For Famalicão (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.486%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.01%EV -9.11%E -4.95%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.24%EV +0.486%E +0.115%K +0.151%G +0.001%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.74%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.57%E -7.10%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 19:29
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.15%EV -0.228%E -0.054%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.10%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 19:29
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.46%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.81%EV -1.89%E -0.460%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.72%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 19:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.37%E -0.578%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.37%E -0.578%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 19:31
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:28
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:31
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:29
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Sky Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:31
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 19:29
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:31
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -13.09%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -16.94%E -5.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -15.47%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-04-19 19:31
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-19 19:30