L’École des cotes

Braga v Famalicão

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 19:34 UTC

Score final : Braga 2–2 Famalicão

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Braga (Local)

Prévision 49.39%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -3.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.65%49.46%49.16%51.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.881.901.9556.50%53.06%52.77%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Famalicão (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.81%4.20cote équitable
EV +0.486%
Avantage +0.115%
Kelly +0.151%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.61%23.80%24.01%25.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.883.904.2228.17%25.76%25.64%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.79%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -0.984%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%26.74%26.83%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.503.6032.26%28.87%28.57%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 51.01%EV -9.11%E -4.95%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.24%EV +0.486%E +0.115%K +0.151%G +0.001%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.74%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.57%E -7.10%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 19:29
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.15%EV -0.228%E -0.054%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.10%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 19:29
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.46%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.81%EV -1.89%E -0.460%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.72%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 19:29
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.37%E -0.578%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.37%E -0.578%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 19:31
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:28
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:31
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:29
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Sky Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:31
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 19:29
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 19:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:31
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -13.09%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:31
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -16.94%E -5.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -15.47%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-04-19 19:31
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-19 19:30