مدرسة الاحتمالات

Braga v Famalicão

البداية: 2026-04-19 19:34 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Braga 2–2 Famalicão

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Braga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.39%2.02السعر العادل
EV -3.68%
الأفضلية -1.89%
Kelly -3.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.65%49.46%49.16%51.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.771.881.901.9556.50%53.06%52.77%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Famalicão (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.81%4.20السعر العادل
EV +0.486%
الأفضلية +0.115%
Kelly +0.151%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.61%23.80%24.01%25.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.553.883.904.2228.17%25.76%25.64%23.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.79%3.73السعر العادل
EV -3.54%
الأفضلية -0.984%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.86%26.74%26.83%28.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.463.503.6032.26%28.87%28.57%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 51.01%EV -9.11%E -4.95%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.24%EV +0.486%E +0.115%K +0.151%G +0.001%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.74%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -12.57%E -7.10%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 19:29
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.68%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.15%EV -0.228%E -0.054%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.10%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 19:29
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.46%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.81%EV -1.89%E -0.460%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.72%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 19:29
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.37%E -0.578%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.37%E -0.578%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 19:31
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 19:29
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:28
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 19:29
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:30
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:31
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 19:29
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:31
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -6.64%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:30
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:29
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Sky Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:31
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 19:30
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 19:29
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 19:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.16%E -2.69%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 19:31
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.90%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -13.09%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:31
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 19:29
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -7.63%E -4.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -16.94%E -5.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -15.47%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 19:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-19 19:31
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-04-19 19:31
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-19 19:30