默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Braga v Famalicão

2026-11-01 20:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Braga (主队)

预测 54.94%1.82公平赔率
EV -3.85%
优势 -2.20%
Kelly -5.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
53.03%54.95%55.01%56.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.691.681.7563.69%59.28%59.52%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Famalicão (客队)

预测 19.24%5.20公平赔率
EV +1.00%
优势 +0.191%
Kelly +0.236%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 5.25

博彩公司预测分布
17.79%19.14%19.25%21.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.764.805.2524.39%21.00%20.83%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.82%3.87公平赔率
EV -3.18%
优势 -0.848%
Kelly -1.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.03%25.91%25.74%26.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.523.503.7530.77%28.43%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Braga (主队):54.94%;Famalicão (客队):19.24%;平局:25.82%。 对于“Famalicão (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.20。 有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.25,由此产生+1.00%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.00%E +0.191%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.18%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.37%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV +1.00%E +0.191%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.79%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV +1.00%E +0.191%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -8.79%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +1.00%E +0.191%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.81%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.81%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.18%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:42
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.81%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -3.81%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.05%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.01%EV -4.19%E -0.841%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 19:33
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:59
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.70%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 20:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -4.95%E -2.86%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.72%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -6.54%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 18:44
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.82%EV -10.44%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -10.41%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 18:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 20:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.03%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.98%EV -13.74%E -8.75%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 19.94%EV -18.23%E -4.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.08%EV -16.09%E -4.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-25 18:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -9.89%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.20%E -4.57%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.23%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.03%EV -21.12%E -5.15%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.74%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-25 18:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%9.2%2026-10-25 21:30
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 53.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%13.3%2026-10-25 20:40