StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Braga v Famalicão

2026-11-01 20:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Braga (Hemma)

Prognos 54.94%1.82rättvist odds
EV -3.85%
Fördel -2.20%
Kelly -5.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.03%54.95%55.01%56.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.691.681.7563.69%59.28%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Famalicão (Borta)

Prognos 19.24%5.20rättvist odds
EV +1.00%
Fördel +0.191%
Kelly +0.236%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.79%19.14%19.25%21.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.764.805.2524.39%21.00%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.82%3.87rättvist odds
EV -3.18%
Fördel -0.848%
Kelly -1.16%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.03%25.91%25.74%26.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.523.503.7530.77%28.43%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Braga (Hemma): 54.94%; Famalicão (Borta): 19.24%; Oavgjort: 25.82%. För Famalicão (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.20. 5 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.25, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.00%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.00%E +0.191%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.18%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.37%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV +1.00%E +0.191%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.79%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV +1.00%E +0.191%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -8.79%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +1.00%E +0.191%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.81%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.81%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.18%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:42
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.81%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -3.81%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.05%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.01%EV -4.19%E -0.841%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 19:33
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:59
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.70%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 20:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -4.95%E -2.86%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.72%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -6.54%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 18:44
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.82%EV -10.44%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -10.41%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 18:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.43%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 20:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.03%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.98%EV -13.74%E -8.75%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 19.94%EV -18.23%E -4.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.08%EV -16.09%E -4.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-25 18:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -9.89%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.20%E -4.57%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.23%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.03%EV -21.12%E -5.15%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.74%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-25 18:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (2)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%9.2%2026-10-25 21:30
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 53.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%13.3%2026-10-25 20:40