Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Braga v Famalicão

2026-11-01 20:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Braga (Casa)

Previsione 55.14%1.81quota equa
EV -3.50%
Vantaggio -2.00%
Kelly -4.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.03%55.12%55.05%56.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.691.681.7563.69%59.32%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Famalicão (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.14%5.23quota equa
EV +0.476%
Vantaggio +0.091%
Kelly +0.112%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.79%19.07%19.26%21.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.774.805.2524.39%20.97%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.72%3.89quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -0.594%
Kelly -0.807%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.00%25.81%25.70%26.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.523.503.8030.77%28.39%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Braga (Casa): 55.14%; Famalicão (Trasferta): 19.14%; Pareggio: 25.72%. Per Famalicão (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.23. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 5.25, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.476%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +0.476%E +0.091%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.26%E -0.594%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 18:42
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.37%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV +0.476%E +0.091%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV +0.476%E +0.091%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +0.476%E +0.091%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -0.481%E -0.092%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.54%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:42
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -4.31%E -0.862%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.05%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.01%EV -4.69%E -0.942%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 19:33
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:50
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.70%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 20:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.14%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.72%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -6.89%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 18:44
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.09%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.96%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.82%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -11.96%E -2.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -10.75%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 18:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.88%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.03%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -15.79%E -3.59%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -15.12%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.98%EV -13.43%E -8.55%K -23.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 19.94%EV -18.66%E -4.39%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.08%EV -16.41%E -5.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-25 18:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.62%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -11.26%E -3.26%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.23%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.03%EV -21.53%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.74%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-25 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.42%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.89%8.2%2026-10-25 19:46
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 53.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%13.3%2026-10-25 20:40