Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Braga v Arouca

Inizio: 2026-04-12 17:00 UTC

Finale: Braga 1–0 Arouca

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Braga (Casa)

Previsione 65.36%1.53quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -3.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.13%65.37%65.41%67.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.30%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arouca (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.75%7.27quota equa
EV +4.11%
Vantaggio +0.543%
Kelly +0.626%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.58%13.77%13.69%16.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.806.787.007.5717.24%14.76%14.29%13.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.89%4.79quota equa
EV +0.266%
Vantaggio +0.055%
Kelly +0.070%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.15%20.86%20.90%23.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.434.454.8026.67%22.60%22.47%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Braga (Casa): 65.36%; Arouca (Trasferta): 13.75%; Pareggio: 20.89%. Per Arouca (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.27. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.57, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.11%.

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.40%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.72%EV +4.11%E +0.543%K +0.626%G +0.026%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.88%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +3.15%E +0.420%K +0.485%G +0.015%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.779%E -0.164%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +3.15%E +0.420%K +0.485%G +0.015%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:53
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +3.15%E +0.420%K +0.485%G +0.015%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:53
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.50%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.31%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.19%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 16:54
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.85%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -0.287%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:54
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.85%EV -6.54%E -4.57%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -0.287%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16%EV -7.05%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -0.975%E -0.135%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:53
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:53
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:51
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.82%E -0.388%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.85%E -5.56%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:51
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.85%E -5.56%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:47
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:53
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:52
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:53
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:53
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:51
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.95%EV -9.13%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:53
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.95%EV -9.13%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:51
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -10.18%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 16:53
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.40%EV -7.85%E -5.56%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -7.16%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -14.36%E -3.50%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:55
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.54%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.34%EV -9.23%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.12%EV -10.60%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -6.54%E -4.57%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.99%EV -9.23%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.18%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -6.54%E -4.57%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.99%EV -9.23%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.18%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -9.91%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -7.05%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:15
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -2.87%E -0.617%K -0.786%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:34
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.55%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.55%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -21.67%E -5.78%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-12 16:30
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -11.98%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.05%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -11.98%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.05%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.73%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -14.04%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.18%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.14%EV -9.15%E -6.58%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -14.04%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV +0.266%E +0.055%K +0.070%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.04%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -1.82%E -0.388%K -0.493%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.48%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.48%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -17.48%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:35
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -20.23%E -3.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -20.23%E -3.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.45%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.37%0.2%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.60%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.60%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-04-12 16:55
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-04-12 16:55
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-04-12 16:55
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.63%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.0%2026-04-12 16:30